SpaceX’s AI Cloud Business Is Taking Off, Says Deutsche Bank

SpaceX’s AI Cloud Business Is Taking Off, Says Deutsche Bank

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Summary

Bloomberg Tech features Deutsche Bank analyst Edison Yu breaking down SpaceX’s rapidly scaling AI cloud business — a segment centered on leasing GPU compute capacity to third-party customers including Google and Anthropic. In a striking disclosure, SpaceX CFO Brett Johnson revealed the company contracted an additional $6.7 billion in cloud services revenue in just the first few weeks of Q3, with deliveries ramping from October and a stated trajectory toward $100 billion in annualized revenue run rate by year-end.

Yu’s own modeling is more conservative but still bullish: he estimates the cloud segment could hit a $40 billion-plus annualized run rate by December, and when combined with Grok/xAI, advertising, and Cursor — which he notes is growing at a very fast rate — the total business could approach $60 billion, making the $100 billion target achievable. Elon Musk has also pulled forward his $1 trillion revenue projection from 2031 to 2030 (with a non-zero chance of 2029), against a Bloomberg consensus of $351 billion for full-year 2030.

A key infrastructure development is SpaceX’s decision to go exclusively with Nvidia’s Vera Rubin architecture for its orbital data center program, with prototype satellite launches planned for next year. Yu frames the orbital data center as a long-term scaling challenge: prototypes are straightforward, but reaching gigawatt-level compute in orbit requires dramatic cost reductions in solar panels and radiators. Starship reusability — projected at 15–20 flights next year — underpins the entire infrastructure scaling plan.


📺 Source: Bloomberg Tech · Published August 05, 2026
🏷️ Format: News Analysis

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