How Can China Win the AI Race Against the US?

How Can China Win the AI Race Against the US?

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Bloomberg Tech interviews a long-term technology fund manager for a deliberate, fundamentals-oriented take on the US-China AI race. Rather than focusing on the latest model releases, the guest argues that the most durable AI advantages are structural: TSMC has built an effective monopoly at the leading edge of chip manufacturing through decades of accumulated process knowledge that capital alone cannot replicate, particularly given export control restrictions on advanced equipment. SK Hynix faces a similar story on the memory side, with HBM (high bandwidth memory) production requiring complex processes and equipment that China’s CXMT does not yet have access to.

Beyond semiconductors, the investor highlights two non-US companies capturing meaningful AI upside. Shopify’s product catalog data is showing 2x higher conversion rates when AI shopping agents use it compared to web-scraped alternatives โ€” a significant structural advantage for a company that monetizes on GMV. MercadoLibre is investing heavily in user acquisition at what it views as a critical AI inflection point, a pattern the company has executed successfully in prior technology cycles.

The broader argument is a critique of how AI investing currently works: with 60% of US investing in passive vehicles and 75% of trading volume from quant funds, markets are faster and noisier than ever, causing investors to conflate “new” with “important.” The guest contends that true competitive advantages in AI infrastructure take decades to build, not quarters to trade.


๐Ÿ“บ Source: Bloomberg Tech ยท Published August 10, 2026
๐Ÿท๏ธ Format: Interview

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